Trade Update - 02-08-2011

Our Intraday Short Call RELCAP at 09:15AM crashed and came down heavily..Our clients booked minimum Rs.7,500/- per lot in just 2 hours...
For more such calls..


Our Positional NTPC Fut Long Call given today at 177 now trading near 180. Rs.6,000/- Profit already and still counting....


Our Silver Buy Call Zooming past all our Targets...profit of Rs.45,000/- per lot in Silver BUY CALL given yesterday to hold overnight and Intraday Traders bought again today..

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Overall IntraDay/Overnight Profit of more than Rs.90,000/- Trading just One lot each in just 3-4 trades.
Join us now for such profit making calls, stop worrying about your losing trades.

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Trade Update - 01-08-2011 (Independence Day Offer)

All our IntraDay Trading Calls Hitting Targets...

Our Silver Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels (Profit +300 points)

Our Gold Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels - (Profit +80 points)

Our Crude Oil Sell Call went down but then came Sharply up - SL Triggered (Loss -20 points)

Our BANKNIFTY Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels in last minutes trade. (Profit + 75 points)

Double Dhamaka MCX Call - Our Silver Buy Call Zoomed to higher levels (Profit +200 points)

Our Cairn Buy Call moving steadily to higher levels (+1 point - Long Call Open)

Our BGREnergy Buy Call moving steadily to higher levels (+2.5 point - Long Call Open)

Our IDFC Buy Call moving upwards keep holding with strict s/l (+0.5 point - Long Call Open)

Our Yes Bank Buy Call went down but then came Sharply up - SL Triggered (-3 points)

Positional - Our Silver Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels and still drifting down (+500 points and counting)




Overall IntraDay Profit of more than Rs.50,000/- Trading just One lot each.

Join us now for such profit making calls, stop worrying about your losing trades.

JOIN US NOW THEN --- > JUST RELAX AND TRADE!!!

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Nifty Update - Closing Bell - 01-08-2011

Nifty Update - Closing Bell - 01-08-2011



50 DMA @ 5522 NIFTY SPOT
www.MarketDhara.com

MARKET NOT LOOKING GOOD .... SHOULD FALL TILL 5310-5340
TO FILL THE GAP & TRIANGLE BREAKDOWN 5555-245 = 5310 ....
CAN BUY 5300 PUTS ....
GOOD BET FOR TGT 5310-5340 SL 50 DMA ON CLOSING BASIS
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NOW MANTAIN STOPLOSS FOR SHORT TO 50 DAY MOVING AVG
CURRENTLY 5520 ON CLOSING BASIS ...
EARILER NIFTY WAS TAKING SUPPORT AT 50 DMA
NOW WILL FACE RESISTENCE AT THE SAME
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NOW KEEP SL @ 5495 CLOSING BASIS ON NIFTY SPOT
IF CLOSING ABOVE THEN BOOK AND EXIT FROM SHORT
SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BREAKDOWN TARGET 5555-245 = 5310-5340
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ADD + FRESH SHORT ON BREAK BELOW 5555 ON NIFTY SPOT
PLUS CLOSING BELOW 5555 IS MUST - ELSE EXIT
SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BREAKDOWN TARGET 5555-245 = 5310-5340
READ MORE AND TO VIEW CHART VISIT www.MarketDhara.com

How to Invest? Understanding Risk & Return....

By now you would be aware of the need to invest and also the different avenues of investing. Well done! You are progressing well. While going through the blogs you must have come across two terms- Risk & Return. I am sure most of us have heard these terms. Let’s take a look at what actually they mean.

Risk is involved in every aspect of life. It is basically the possibility of something going wrong or contrary to our expectations. How many times have you crossed the road running or driven rashly to reach work on time? When we do this, we run the risk of meeting with an accident Well one risk I always live with is uttering something foolish in front of my boss (more on that some other day!!).

But what is the risk that we undertake when we invest our hard earned money? Here, risk implies the chance or probability of the actual returns on our investment being different from our expected return. We tend to associate risk with loss. But, if you consider the definition of risk, it also includes the probability of returns being higher than our expectations. We wouldn’t mind this though, would we? Thus, concluding it is quite easy to understand that more the chance of the actual earnings being lower than our expectations, higher is the risk!

Believe it or not when you invest your money, you are exposed to different types of risk. Let’s have a look at a few of these

Capital Risk: As an investor you are exposed to various forms of risk. Now, as a beginner, what is the first fear that you have when you invest your money? I am sure it’s Loss, a complete or partial loss of the value of your investment. Thus capital risk is the risk that you might end up losing all or part of the money that you invested.

Liquidity Risk: Have you ever tried selling a house? Even if you haven’t, I am sure you are aware of the time and energy involved in doing it. It can take anywhere from week, months to even a year. Thus the second type of risk you face is Liquidity Risk. It is the risk that you might not be able to convert your investment into cash, quick enough. With real estate it can take you a long time, but to convert your Infosys stock into cash, it might just take you seconds!!!

Firm Specific risks: Be it through direct investment in stocks or through Mutual funds and ULIPS, quite a few of us invest in stocks. Thus, we get exposed to what are called Firm Specific risks. This can include competition , certain projects not working out (a new product launched which is not accepted by the market), entire sector being affected due to government regulation (the current scenario in the Telecom sector).

Market risk: This is the risk which affects not only a particular sector but the whole economy. For example Change in interest rates, a slowdown in the economy, affect many, if not all, investment options. Some other risks like foreign exchange fluctuations, commodity prices may affect a certain class of investment options but in varying degrees.

This was all about risks. Now let’s talk about returns. Return is the money that you expect to make out of your investment. In the earlier blog you would have seen that there is different level of risk and return associated with savings deposit, fixed deposit, real estate, stocks etc. Certainly, you would expect to earn higher returns if you are taking on higher risk. The chart given below explains the relationship between risk and return.

Thus, where you invest your money depends on your risk-taking capacity as well as your return expectations. You may tend to think that stocks are high risk investment options and may shy away from it. But there is a way that you can lower the risk involved in stock investing without lowering your returns. But before you learn this way, it is important to understand your investment profile which we will do in the next blog.

Top 5 Mistakes in the Stock Market.

This is a guest Article from Manish Chauhan who writes on Jagoinvestor . He writes on Personal Finance and Financial Planning and his aim is to empower Indians on taking informed decision in their financial life .

Lets see in this quick article what are the top mistakes investors do in Stock markets . Once an investor controls these mistakes he can see great improvement in results .

1) Buying on recommendation

Never buy just on recommendation, Do your own study and analysis . When you buy on others recommendation , you will don’t take responsibility on your own if there is any loss , which is dangerous in markets . Hear others but listen to your self . See other things like markets trend , sector view , global markets , future prospects . Once you are fully confident that its a correct trade and you feel comfortable with it … go for it .

2) Being too Greedy

Stock market is just like our life , You need to have satisfaction in your life and stock markets , If you want more and more and more , you might not get anything , in fact you can lose . You put everything you have on the trade like i did .. Because of greed one generally invests more than they could afford to lose . Dont take unwanted and unaffordable risk , You have to see potential losses , not just profits . This is a very common and one of the biggest mistake in stock markets , so big that it will be among the top mistakes investor and traders do . Buying more quantity was not a wrong thing .. it was the intention behind it

3) No profit booking

This is a major mistake . Once there is some profit , one does not take that profit back in anticipation of more and more . One has to be satisfied at one point and take some profits out of it and keep safe , irrespective of whats going to happen tomorrow. Situations changes in markets, one never checks back the news regarding the stocks after they buy it . Every time you get some good profits , it’s a wise idea to at least book some partial profits out of it (Unless you have strong reasons to hold it for long)

4) Having a Big Ego , Not accepting that you can be wrong

“When your boat starts sinking , you don’t pray , just Jump “

Once you are doubtful , surrender to markets wish. See what markets is showing you, not what you wanted to see. Markets are supreme and no one can be above markets. Leave you Ego at your home when you go in front of markets. Markets tell you what’s going to happen , Not vice versa. Accept that you are wrong and made a mistake and move on . Once has to understand the difference between Stop loss and when things have gone beyond their calculations .

5) Impatience

Lot of time, prices started falling and once there is a loss, investor feels like there is end to the world . They feel like they are losers to make a wrong decision. this is where one does not understand volatility or have not planned for it before hand. We wait for markets to come back to our levels but it never does and we lose the patience and sell in frustration . one has to wait long enough for markets to show its returns . Obviously if its was that easy to trade in markets everyone would be millionaires .

Conclusion

Fear , Greed , Emotions , Ego , Impatience : These are the elements of Failure in Stock markets. Manage them well and you can do better . These things are still not the most important elements of success in stock markets

RIL: Is KG-D6 An Overkill?

4QFY11 results in line. RIL reported PAT of `53.8bn, up 14% yoy. GRMs was slightly lower at US$9.2/bbl (we estimate US$9.5-10/bbl) due to: i) 6-week shutdown of RIL's FCC unit at its DTA refinery; ii) gas imbalance in the refinery due to the shutdown leading to higher LNG imports; iii) lower LPG and pet-coke cracks; iv) impact of linkage of RIL's crude contracts with Brent.

E&P - Mixed bag. Management has not given any guidance for the D6 gas ramp-up, but has guided for EBITDA of US$2bn from FY15 on account of its US shale gas ventures.

Change in estimates. We cut out FY12e and FY13e EPS 3% each as we reduce our D6 gas production to 50mcmd and 70mcmd from 60mcmd and 80mcmd respectively.

       

Valuation and risks. Despite strong revival in refining margins and strengthening polyester margins, the stock underperformed the market by 16% in the past year due to lack of clarity on D6 gas ramp-up. Though we trim our target price to `1,240/share from `1,250, we maintain Buy as the stock does not factor in positives of the refining & petchem businesses. Clarity on: i) D6 gas ramp up and ii)capex plans for deployment of huge cash generation are key stock triggers. Risks: lower refining & petchem margins and volumes; lower crude & natural gas prices and volumes. 

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.

Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Suzlon Promoters Sells 4 Cr Shares To Morgan Stanley--Stock Not Worth Even Rs 47?

Suzlon Energy Ltd has informed BSE that the Company have been informed by the Promoters of the Company that Vinod Ranchhodhbhai HUF and Sanman Holdings Private Ltd., persons forming part of the Promoter Group, have sold on March 14, 2011 total 4 crore (2 crore each) Equity Shares of Rs. 2 each of the Company, representing approximately 2.25% of the paid-up capital of the Company. Following this sale, the Promoter Group's holding in the Company stands reduced to 54.84% of the paid-up capital.

Further, these shareholders of the Company have indicated to the Company that primary intention of the utilisation of these proceeds is to extend financial support to the Company by suitable mode, subject to applicable law, the Company approving the same and receipt of all requisite approvals.

The Company plans to use these funds for strategic initiatives.

 

Safe Harbor Statement:

Some forward looking statements on projections, estimates, expectations & outlook are included to enable a better comprehension of the Company prospects. Actual results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account of factors such as changes in government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the Company conducts its business, exchange rate and interest rate movements, impact of competing products and their pricing, product demand and supply constraints.

 

Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.

Welcome to MarketDhara. We help you realise your Dreams...

Welcome to MarketDhara,

MarketDhara is an Indian Stock Market Research firm which takes care of all your trading needs alongwith growing your investments with higher returns and complete peace of mind (Client Satisfaction).

We make stocks (NSE/BSE), commodity (MCX/NCDEX), Comex and Forex investments looks easy for you with our unprecedented Live Technical Analysis and Trading Calls (Technical Tips) with high accuracy of upto 92%.

Our Trading Calls, eNewsletters and Research Reports with their equal Emphasis on Fundamental and on Technical aspects, minimizes risk in both strong and weak market.

Trading Calls are for Intraday Traders, Short Term Investors, Medium term and Long Term Investments, Positional Traders, Future n Options (Call n Put), BTST/STBT.

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“Show Me The Money….”

Mohit Gupta | MarketDhara@Gmail.Com

I read a quote by a famous US based Futures trader named Ed Seykota, around twelve years ago. He said “Everybody gets what they want, from the markets”. It is only recently, that the true import of this statement dawned upon me.

When you ask market participants what they want from the market, they will all say that they want to make money. However, things are not always what they seem. There may be different reasons for being in the market and making money through price differentials may not be prime amongst them. Here are a few examples :

The day trader: He is in it for the action. If you ask him a hypothetical question whether he would like to earn Rs. 10 per day through day trading or Rs. 100 per week by trading once a week, most probably he will choose the former. For such people, it is the thrill of being involved with the rough and tumble of markets that is exciting. Many even use the colloquial term “Time-Pass” when asked as to why they are glued to the screen 5×5 (Five hours a day for five days in a week). Money is the ostensible motivator but the real reason is “the kick” which they get from being a part of the action.


The stockmarket analyst: The markets have given birth to this animal called an analyst. However many a time, making money from his/her recommendations is the last thing on the analyst’s mind. They are in the market only because it offers them a well-paying job. Analysts who work in large brokerage houses usually do not buy the stocks they recommend. They justify this strange behaviour by citing “compliance-related” reasons. It is rather surprising that the compliance department does not permit an analyst to put her money where her mouth is. Not that many analysts mind it. They relish the accoutrements that accompany their job. Analyst meets in five-star hotels, plant visits in scenic locations, the networking with other analysts (which may help in securing a lucrative new assignment), etc. Why bother to stake your capital in the market when your job gives you everything without any risk…


Some company promoters: For many promoters, stockmarkets are a necessary evil. They are required for periodic fund raising and nothing more. For them, despite being market participants, money is made through their business and not from price gyrations. Of course, for investors it may make sense to tag along with managements who are involved with developing their business as compared to those who have an eye on the quotation screen.

Brokerage houses: They aim to make money by making others transact as much as possible. They are not so much concerned with price movements, as to find reasons for stimulating action among traders. In a sense, the day trader and brokerage houses share a symbiotic relationship. If the day trader is seeking action, the broker does his utmost to provide it.


The financial media: Though not strictly “market” participants, they certainly mould the opinions of several people in the market. By virtue of their daily appearances many media personnel are elevated to the status of “stars” and exult in the adulation and feeling of power that accompanies it. They love the market as that is their vehicle to stardom.


The investor: He is the most invisible market participant (save and except for a few whom the media anoints as a “Wizard” or “Oracle”). He is the one who is really in it for the money and he tries to attain his objective in as unobtrusive a way as possible. Large investors come into the limelight when they make an open offer etc. but there are many other individuals or outfits who disregard the glitz and glamour of the stockmarket as it is irrelevant to their main objective, which is wealth creation.

Seykota himself was a semi-recluse who operated far away from Wall Street as he wanted to remain unaffected. He was clear about what he wanted from the market.

Are you frustrated about not making money in the market? It may be worthwhile pondering as to whether that is what you really want or are the markets already giving you what you want and you are not aware of it…..