Last Week Performance (22.08.11 to 26.08.11)

From Last week’s stock future weekly recommendations (22.08.11 to 26.08.11)”, Mcdowell touched 972 from our reco price 937 (Gain of Rs. 35 per lot), ACC touched 1018 from our reco price 1000 (Gain of Rs. 18 per lot), Bata touched 738 from our reco price 663 (Gain of Rs. 75 per lot), Yes Bank touched 284 from our reco price 263 (Gain of Rs. 21 per lot), Chambal touched 107 from our reco price 101 (Gain of Rs. 6 per lot), Petronet touched 186 from our reco price 170 (Gain of Rs. 16 per lot), KFA touched 27.40 from our reco price 25.50 (Gain of Rs. 1.90 per lot), Hotel Leela touched 40 from our reco price 37.85 (Gain of Rs. 2.15 per lot), Arvind touched 77 from our reco price 67 (Gain of Rs. 10 per lot) in a single week only in this kind of market also….Those interested to get paid services in only intraday stock future, positional stock future, 2-3 days stock future can call us for details only after market hours…

From Last week’s Delivery recommendations (22.08.11 to 26.08.11)”, TTML touched 19.30 from our reco price 17.45 (Gain of Rs. 1.85), GVK Power touched 18.35 from our reco price 17.10 (Gain of Rs. 1.25), Alok touched 18.25 from our reco price 16.55 (Gain of Rs. 1.70), IDFC touched 115 from our reco price 107 (Gain of Rs. 8) Nagajuna Ferti touched 28.80 from our reco price 26.25 (Gain of Rs. 2.55), HCC touched 28.75 from our reco price  26.35 (Gain of Rs. 2.40 ), R Com touched 83 from our reco price 74 (Gain of Rs. 9), Sun TV touched 325 from our reco price 300 (Gain of Rs. 25), in a single week only in this kind of market also….

# Nifty Future(4748.70) : Above 4833,we may see 4869, 4892, 4923,…Below 4703 we may see 4685, 4662, 4631... Readers may please, Trade On Breakout side only according to own financial capacity & at risk & on your own decisions.

# Hot Positional Stock Futures:

1)    M & M (704.50): Rs. 690 stoploss…It may touch 720 to 738…

2)    HPCL (361.10): Rs. 348 stoploss…It may touch 369 to 378…

3)    TVS Motor (53.75): Rs. 50 stoploss… It may touch 57 to 59…

4)    UniPhos (136.35): Rs. 134 stoploss..It may touch 140 to 143…

5)    Crompton (136.85): Rs. 130 stoploss…It may touch 140 to 144…

# Hot Weekly Stock Futures:

1)    Petronet (169.50): Rs. 164 stoploss… It may touch 174 to 180...

2)    Bhushan (306.75): Rs. 295 stoploss.. It may touch 315 to 323…

3)    Tata Motor (699.45): Rs. 685 stoploss….It may touch 716 to 730…

4)    TCS (948.15): Rs. 933 stoploss…. It may touch 959 to 972…

5)    REL Capital (338.50): Rs. 326 stoploss..It may touch 351 to 370...

# Hot Short Term Delivery based Calls :

1)    GMR Infra (532754) (26.35): Near term it may touch 29 to 32…

2)    NHPC (533098) (23.90): Near term it may touch 26 to 28…

3)    Onmobile (532944) (55.65): Near term it may touch 59 to 64…

4)    Great Offshore (532786) (130.05): Near term it may touch 136 to 144…

5)    SCI (523598) (80.25): Near term it may touch 84 to 90…

6)    Vijaya Bank (532401) (54.25): Near term it may touch 57 to 62…

7)    Godrej Consumer (532424) (416): Near term it may touch 432 to 450…

8)    REI Agro (532106) (23.45): Near term it may touch 25 to 28…

9)    Bajaj Hind (500032) (51): Near term it may touch 54 to 59…

10) Usher Agro (532765) (126.60): Near term it may touch 136 to 144….

Trade Update - 01-08-2011 (Independence Day Offer)

All our IntraDay Trading Calls Hitting Targets...

Our Silver Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels (Profit +300 points)

Our Gold Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels - (Profit +80 points)

Our Crude Oil Sell Call went down but then came Sharply up - SL Triggered (Loss -20 points)

Our BANKNIFTY Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels in last minutes trade. (Profit + 75 points)

Double Dhamaka MCX Call - Our Silver Buy Call Zoomed to higher levels (Profit +200 points)

Our Cairn Buy Call moving steadily to higher levels (+1 point - Long Call Open)

Our BGREnergy Buy Call moving steadily to higher levels (+2.5 point - Long Call Open)

Our IDFC Buy Call moving upwards keep holding with strict s/l (+0.5 point - Long Call Open)

Our Yes Bank Buy Call went down but then came Sharply up - SL Triggered (-3 points)

Positional - Our Silver Sell Call Rocked Bottom to lower levels and still drifting down (+500 points and counting)




Overall IntraDay Profit of more than Rs.50,000/- Trading just One lot each.

Join us now for such profit making calls, stop worrying about your losing trades.

JOIN US NOW THEN --- > JUST RELAX AND TRADE!!!

Team MarketDhara
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Market Capitalization in India and How you can use it to invest in stocks.

‘This small-cap stock can become the next MULTIBAGGER!!!’

Many of us must have got mails with this headline some or the other time. And chances are that many of us must have also checked out which stock this is and invested in it! The first thing that catches our attention here is the word ‘MULTIBAGGER’. Who doesn’t want their money to multiply in a short time? Right?  But, while there is a possibility that a few fortunate ones actually earn money from such multi-bagger ideas, there is also a possibility that your investment in the stock may be entirely wiped out.

The reason : Because while focusing on ‘MULTIBAGGER’, we ignored, possibly the more important word,  i.e. ‘SMALL-CAP STOCK’!

Believe it or not, but the market capitalization of a stock plays an important role in deciding which stock you invest in. Choosing the best stock based on its market capitalization and your risk profile can help protect your hard-earned money and earn you great returns; more importantly it can prevent the heartburn you will get seeing your money go up in flames! But before we get into how you can do this, let’s first understand the basics of market capitalization.

If you wish to buy a company and all its shares were offered to you at the current market price, how much would the company cost you?

The answer is its Market Capitalization. Yes, you will have to pay the “Market Capitalization” of the company which is the product of a company’s total number of shares outstanding and the market price of the share i.e.

Let’s understand it with the help of an example. Suppose, you decided to purchase ABC Industries on New Year, when its shares were trading at Rs.50 and the number of  shares outstanding were 1 crore. You would have paid,

Rs.50     x    1,00,00,000    =    Rs. 50,00,00,000
i.e., Rs. 50 Cr. is the Market Capitalization of ABC Industries.

However, what you should remember is that the market price of a share is the public opinion about the worth of a company’s stock. Thus, Market Capitalization is the public opinion of what the whole company is worth. This opinion is based on the past performance, future prospects and market sentiments of the public about the company. The market capitalization changes with time as a result of factors like company performance, economic factors like inflation, interest rates, etc. In India, you can find companies with market capitalization ranging from a few lakh to as much as few lakh crores! As a result, companies are usually classified as large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap companies. This brings us to the next question.

We have frequently heard about some companies being Large-cap (For e.g. Reliance, Infosys etc.) while others being Midcap or Small-cap companies. Wonder how they are classified? Let’s take a look at how the BSE classifies companies according to their market capitalization.

The 80-15-5 method:

BSE’s classifies companies according to their Market Capitalization by using the 80-15-5 method. Here’s how this method works:

• Arrange all the companies in descending order of their Market Capitalization.
• The group of companies from the top, which together contribute 80% of the total Market Capitalization are Large-cap Companies,
• The next group of companies contributing 15% (80-95%) of Market capitalization are Mid-cap companies, and
• The remaining companies which contribute 5% of Market Capitalization are Small-cap companies.

Thus, the Large-cap companies, Mid-cap companies and Small-cap companies contribute 80%, 15% and 5% of the total Market Capitalization of the market respectively. This is known as the 80-15-5 method. The number of small-cap companies is the highest followed by mid-cap and large-cap companies. Thus, a small proportion of the total number of companies (large-cap) contribute the major part (80%) of total market capitalization.

However, this does not mean that if the market falls or rises considerably, large-cap companies will become mid-cap and midcap will become small-cap, or vice-versa. Rather, the above ranges will change with a change in Total Market Capitalization.

Market capitalization is regarded as an indicator of a company’s size. Large-cap companies are more robust. A large-cap company can be compared to a heavy goods carrier, while a midcap company to a mini carrier. If there is a speed breaker/bump on the road, the chances of a mini carrier getting knocked down are much more as compared to the heavy goods carrier. At the same time, a mini carrier picks up speed quickly and travels faster as compared to the heavy goods carrier; which requires time to catch up speed but has better stability and momentum. Given below is a comparative account of Large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap companies.

Let’s have a look at the Investor Meet where three good friends – Mr. Conservative, Mr. Practical and Mr. Adventurous  are having dinner together:

What did u observe in the above picture?

Mr. Conservative has a very low risk appetite, so he wants to be safe and invests only in large-cap stocks.

Mr. Practical understands that if he wants high returns he must take high risk. So, he invests a part of his funds in Mid-cap stocks which increases his chance of getting a high return on his total investment. At the same time, he keeps a large part of his investment exposed to low risk by investing in large-cap stocks.

Mr. Adventurous, on the other hand, is willing to risk losing a large part of his investment, for the possibility of getting very high returns on his investments. So, he invests most of his funds in risky mid-cap and highly risky small-cap stocks; he keeps  a very small part of his fund invested in large cap stocks.

Thus, market capitalization plays an important role in deciding which companies you should invest in considering your expected returns and your risk appetite.

** How to select stocks **

** How to select stocks **

Once you decide to start investing in the stock market, the obvious question is---which stocks should you buy?  

If you're a serious investor, you'll soon realise that listening to so-called experts or tipsters could be downright dangerous. Very often, their predictions turn out to be completely off the mark.  

What a serious investor needs is a philosophy of investing, a style that enables you to pick stocks.  

There are, of course, plenty of styles------traders, for instance, swear by technical analysis, while the more long-term investors are more inclined towards fundamental analysis. But even within the "fundamentalist" camp, there are competing styles.  

And the styles with the largest followers are "value investing" and "growth investing." 

~*~ 5 ways to identify a good stock ~*~

[1] Growth 

Growth investors look for companies with rapidly growing earnings. They are willing to pay a fairly high price for a stock whose earnings they expect to rise sharply. They aren't particularly bothered whether a stock is cheap or expensive. Stocks are cheap when their Price-Earning ratios or Price-Book ratios are low, and expensive when their PE and PB ratios are high.

P/B ratio :

Book Value is what would be left over for shareholders if the company were sold and all its loans were paid off.  In technical terms, BV is the accounting value of a firm.  P/B is calculated by subtracting total liabilities (money owed) from total assets (all that it owns) and dividing the result by the total number of shares.  So a BV of Rs 39 would indicate what each share owner would get at this point if the company liquidated. 

P/E ratio : 

The Earnings Per Share is arrived at by taking the company's net profit and dividing it by the total number of shares. The PE ratio is the market price of the share divided by the EPS. Investors expect that high earnings growth will more than make up for the high PE.  If they believe it will deliver high earnings growth, they'll go for the stock.  

A growth investor therefore bets on continuously rising earnings. Such stocks usually have high valuations. Meaning, they have a high PE or a high PBV ratio. Some such stocks are Pantaloon (aggressive growth targets given by company, currently opening new malls at a fast pace), Bharti Telecom (growth has been higher than that of IT companies for quite a few years in the past and is expected to continue the same way, subscriber growth projections are high), Suzlon Energy (bright prospects for alternate energy sources and the company already has a large market share).

[2] Value 

Value investors, on the other hand, are those on the lookout for a stock that is being quoted below what the investor believes is its "fair value" or "intrinsic worth".  He believes that these are stocks that the market has not yet discovered and hence they quote below their true worth.  Normally, such stocks exhibit low PE multiples and are also less volatile than growth stocks.

These stocks are usually found in mature industries like steel, commodities, fast-moving consumer goods and so on. Examples include  Tisco---an established business, steady growth; Nestle---an established business, diversified portfolio of products, brand equity; ONGC---largest oil explorer, vast reserves, major beneficiary of oil price increase. 

At times, such stocks also show high dividend yields. 

[3] Dividend yield

The dividend yield of a company is the dividend per share divided by the price per share. It's often expressed as a percentage. Let's say the share price = Rs 36 

Annual dividend: Rs 0.88 

Dividend yield: 2.44% (0.88/36.00) 

Historically, a higher dividend yield has been considered to be desirable among investors. A high dividend yield is considered to be evidence that a stock is underpriced, whereas a low dividend yield is considered evidence that the stock is overpriced. 

[4] Which style is better?  

Value investors often say that they have a greater "margin of safety". That's because the beaten down stocks that they pick are out of favour with the market, and nobody has any great expectations about them. Often they are stocks that the mass of investors haven't discovered yet, hence they are not closely followed. If these companies have an earnings disappointment or two, the price of the shares don't fall by much. But they respond very positively to good earnings.  

Growth stocks, on the other hand, have great expectations built into them and are closely followed, which means that earnings disappointments hit them really hard. 

Growth investors point out that, in their quest for undervalued stocks, value investors are often drawn towards small cap and mid cap stocks, which may not have much liquidity, carry a higher risk and which may be volatile. It's also true that different styles perform better at different times. 

For example, when the economy is in a recession and corporate earnings are down in the dumps, attention shifts to safety rather than to growth. That's when value investing usually comes into play. 

In contrast, during boom times, when the economy is powering ahead on all cylinders and optimism is all around, people tend to believe that growth will last for ever. That's when growth stocks come into favour.  

To take an extreme example, during the tech boom in the late nineties, nobody bothered about finding value in beaten down old economy stocks----the rage at the time was tech stocks which were supposed to deliver superior earnings growth. The fact that these stocks had PE ratios of a 100 or so, while some of them didn't even make profits didn't deter the die-hard growth investor. We all know, of course, what happened to those stocks later on. 

[5] A merger of both? 

There are also hybrid approaches. For instance, some investors have a "relative value" approach to identifying value stocks. 

This approach is therefore a combination of growth and value investing styles. The point is to pick, not intrinsic value or growth, but growth or value compared to the company's peers. 

This means that they compare a stock's P/E ratio to those of other companies in the same industry, or they estimate future earnings estimates or cash flows and compare that with other companies in the same industry. 

In other words, these investors are those that believe in investing in stocks which they feel are undervalued compared to their peers in an industry, or which they believe will grow faster than other companies in the industry. 

A marriage of both the styles may be a better idea than sticking to one method. Such an approach will enable the investor to select a portfolio that could benefit through changing market and economic cycles and lessen the effects of market volatility.  

Growth and value stocks historically have tended to follow a cycle of one style outperforming the other for a period of several years.  

Over the long term, therefore, investors can potentially enhance returns and reduce risk by including both growth and value investments in their portfolios

source:rediff.com